GW2 Bets

Top Picks Under Consideration*
Recommendations as a percentage of total bankroll

Low variance
2% FUL v Ars - Over 2.5 goals - 1.8@Ladbrokes
2% TOT to beat Swa - 1.67@Ladbrokes
2% Mci to beat CAR - 1.45@Ladbrokes

High variance/In play trade picks
1% NEW v Whm - Under 2.5 goals - 1.88@Pinnacle
0.75% AVL to beat Liv - 4.5@Bet365
0.75% EVE v Wba - Draw - 4.33@Skybet
0.75% Nor to beat HUL - 3.4@Coral
0.75% Sun+0.75 (v SOU) - 2.15@Bet365
1% Cry+1 (v STO) - 1.52@Bet365

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Week 2, and plenty more up for consideration as prices have bounced around while the market tries to adjust to new managers, new players, and last minute transfers.

Anyway, back to the picks:

FUL v Ars
The big prices for the Arsenal win for this game have unfortunately come and gone, with the peak at as high as 2.35 following the defeat to Villa last weekend, and drifting into 1.9 and under now kick off approaches. Whilst Arsenal kept a clean sheet midweek, their defensive lineup has been disrupted and coupled with a revamped Fulham forward lineup, the probability of a Fulham goal strengthens the support for an over 2.5 full time outcome as Arsenal then need to score at least 2 to take all 3 points, and with our independent prices pitching this at a technical price of 1.7 it's our first pick.

TOT v Swa
Opposing Swansea could present some useful betting opportunities throughout the season, as they look set to progress into the Europa league group stages, and whilst not relevant at this early stage of the season, the associated fixture congestion, lack of squad depth and key player availability could cause an underperformance in the premier league fixtures as we've seen time and time again with the 'smaller' clubs in this competition.

Regarding this week's match, whilst the bookmaker price isn't far from our independent technical price (1.6), the physical strength the Spurs squad now possesses following the transfer dealings present a considerable threat to a Swansea side with a vulnerability against crosses and set pieces.

CAR v Mci
Another game with only a marginal difference between the bookmaker versus our in-house prices (1.42). Cardiff were widely tipped to be the promoted team that stayed up, however after failing to register a single shot on target against West Ham in the opening game of the season, opinions have already changed. The unknown quantity that Cardiff have on their side is new signing Cornelius, however we expect the pace and fluidity with which City were able to sweep aside Newcastle to be too much for the newly promoted side on their first premier league home game.
 

*All bets subject to review of price movements, team announcements and in play trading opportunities on gamedays. Gameday news may be shared via Twitter account.